Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 156.542412 183.480956 215.725978 257.788235 312.159382 3.814596e+02 478.850277
2025-02-16 121.135529 153.352426 196.553486 260.953211 358.829277 5.103252e+02 782.594582
2025-02-23 101.792935 135.228978 183.468556 262.255580 397.138858 6.412317e+02 1189.935147
2025-03-02 89.659588 123.550963 175.302939 266.318538 438.875539 7.996888e+02 1823.244801
2025-03-09 80.690826 114.507852 168.596136 269.869273 480.092704 9.846025e+02 2824.069074
2025-03-16 72.032901 104.403124 157.955413 263.045004 497.185346 1.127283e+03 4036.407334
2025-03-23 68.141658 101.278262 158.377076 277.140013 567.044927 1.480911e+03 7654.519405
2025-03-30 61.628349 92.872682 147.943494 266.345403 571.371990 1.633542e+03 11157.485031
2025-04-06 57.709276 88.416906 144.040709 268.603765 612.196775 1.979862e+03 21337.994079
2025-04-13 53.958716 83.810062 139.130551 267.386684 643.070140 2.338230e+03 43773.952548
2025-04-20 52.248964 82.646945 140.734594 281.973724 732.616764 3.199133e+03 219655.924821
2025-04-27 51.884357 83.882509 147.345584 311.094705 895.467185 5.146763e+03 NaN
2025-05-04 48.321564 78.994156 141.000970 306.061398 932.427635 6.360324e+03 NaN
2025-05-11 45.783640 75.876709 138.173405 310.683835 1020.226413 8.953813e+03 NaN
2025-05-18 43.338452 72.672079 134.655463 312.372845 1099.253054 1.256563e+04 NaN
2025-05-25 41.367790 70.206616 132.449338 317.557712 1205.911169 1.929145e+04 NaN
2025-06-01 39.554072 67.874296 130.208760 322.094117 1318.690048 3.127930e+04 NaN
2025-06-08 37.231888 64.280570 124.468752 313.380855 1340.629098 4.156542e+04 NaN
2025-06-15 36.419376 63.772902 126.206371 331.401407 1580.966431 1.142846e+05 NaN
2025-06-22 34.229506 60.146732 119.674573 317.592086 1558.819917 1.496676e+05 NaN
2025-06-29 32.947112 58.378210 117.681088 320.476659 1689.327046 4.033453e+05 NaN
2025-07-06 31.585899 56.331478 114.725065 318.921801 1782.958624 1.336606e+06 NaN
2025-07-13 31.088546 56.139654 116.623659 337.602579 2130.848610 NaN NaN